Market Orientation

The Rolling Recession Nobody Wants to Admit Is Already Here

Why capital is quietly getting vacuumed out of the market

The Most Important Chart This Week Isn’t Stocks. It’s The Dollar.

Peak Fear, Falling Prices

Why the “bad news” stack is quietly turning into a disinflationary tailwind in 2026

Venezuela Just Taught the Market Something Big About Crypto

The Bitcoin Bull Case Didn’t Come From Prices — It Came From What Doesn’t Break When the Phone Rings.

SCOTUS, IEPA, and the Market’s Next Fork in the Road

Why tomorrow’s ruling matters more for posture than politics

Venezuela Isn’t the Trade

Why the real impact may show up far from oil — and faster than expected

A Quiet Re-Entry Into China

Compression before expansion

This Didn’t Start Last Night

Energy was already moving before the narrative arrived.

This Is Why We Stayed Calm

How structure — not sentiment — told us exactly what to do

Saturday Alpha Notes

Structure Is Holding — And That Matters More Than Sentiment

Thursday Market Outlook

The Most Hated Rally Usually Pays the Best

Freight Market Macro Update

Why This Peak Season Feels Different (And Why 2026 May Surprise People)

Mid-Week Market Update

Tech Is Heavy. The Market Isn’t Broken.

Mid-Week Flash Update

Markets feel worse than they are

Tuesday Market Update

Chop now. Resolution soon. Don’t overthink it.

A Rough Tape — and the Risk We’ve Been Flagging

Why today didn’t come out of nowhere

Saturday Alpha Notes: Rotation, Not Rupture

A post-close look at what actually changed this week — and what didn’t

Today’s FOMC Reaction Just Confirmed What Matters Most

The market finally showed its hand — and it wasn’t subtle.

Energy Is Setting Up for Its Next Big Move

Why I’m positioned in VLO, PSX, and XOM ahead of the next leg in the cycle.

Tuesday Pre-FOMC Insights: The Market Is Quietly Repricing the Entire 2025–2026 Playbook

Why tomorrow’s “hawkish cut” isn’t the threat investors think — and the rotations happening beneath the surface.

Monday Insights

Apple Weakness, Yield Breakouts, and Why This Week Sets Up an Asymmetric January

Rate Cuts Locked In — But Breakouts May Stall First

Why This Week Favors Operators Who Scale the Fear While Tourists Chase the Noise

Why today’s ADP miss matters — and what it confirms about next week’s rate cut

The labor print wasn’t pretty, but it all but guarantees the Fed eases in December.

September Scoreboard

The Month Consensus Got Wrong

Macro Setup

September's About to Flip the Script