There is nothing new to report on QQQ.

We are still following the exact same roadmap I laid out in yesterday’s Alpha Premium post, where I broke down the QQQ buy zones, the anchored VWAP structure, and the full macro path into mid-December.

Price is still above every single key anchored VWAP.
Not one level from yesterday’s roadmap has broken.
This is a drift — not a breakdown.

Short-term chop.
Long-term trend unchanged.
Same buy zones.
Same plan.

Today was one of those choppy sessions where retail panics, algos overreact, and everyone suddenly “forgets” the bigger picture.

But this portfolio doesn’t operate in emotional mode.
It operates on structure, anchored levels, and long-term compounding.

Before we get into the charts, read this carefully:

When I launched Alpha 40K, I had to buy initial positions so the portfolio existed.

Those entries do NOT matter.
Your focus should always be on the Buy Zones in the charts.

The Buy Zones are what matter.
The Buy Zones are where institutions accumulate.
The Buy Zones are where you should be looking to build size.

My fills were just the starting point.
Your advantage is waiting for the levels.

This one requires full clarity.

I had a trailing stop on 25 shares, and it triggered today — exactly as planned.

Why?

Short-term, today was not a strong candle:

But here’s the key: LMND still has 23% short interest.
This thing can erase today’s entire move in one session.

Nothing changed in the long-term thesis.

Roadmap:

And again:

Don’t anchor to my entry — anchor to the Buy Zones.

Weekly Chart:

Daily Chart:

4-Hour Chart showing break and close below recent high AVWAP:

Let me be blunt — the HIMS chart looks ugly right now.

We lost the recent pivot-low AVWAP
The lower timeframes are choppy and indecisive
Momentum is weak
And every bounce today got sold straight back down

Short-term, this has the look of a stock that wants to cool off more.

But here’s the truth:

HIMS was never about timing the perfect buy zone.
HIMS is a long-term industry transformer.

This is a company reshaping:

The Buy Zones still exist, sure — but they’re not the main point here.
Nobody is going to look back at a 10-year HIMS chart and say:

“Wow I’m so glad I waited for a $2 difference on my entry.”

That’s not what this is.

This is one of the few names in this portfolio where:

Short-term weakness = irrelevant.
Long-term execution = everything.

Nothing that happened today — or this whole week — touches:

Short-term chart is ugly.
Long-term story is untouched.

This is the kind of compounder where the big money is made by staying grounded in fundamentals while the chart goes through its mood swings.

Weekly Chart:

Daily Chart:

CIFR is parked at the most logical spot on the entire chart for a short-term reversal — the convergence of multiple pivot AVWAPs all stacked in the same zone. CIFR respects anchored VWAP better than almost any stock in this portfolio, and historically this is where buyers step in.

But today’s candle was flat-out ugly:

This is where CIFR either stabilizes… or we break lower first.

Here’s the roadmap exactly as you laid it out:

This is the spot where CIFR has reversed every time for months.

That’s the next clean level with real historical demand.

And that’s where I’ll get aggressive — exactly as planned from the beginning.

Long-term, nothing changed.
CIFR isn’t trading on some meme narrative. It’s tied directly to Bitcoin’s next cycle and the massive expansion of AI compute infrastructure. Those two forces are structural, not sentimental.

Short-term pain.
Long-term opportunity.
Same thesis.
Same Buy Zones.
Same execution plan.

Daily Chart:

ZETA looks like it wants a clean test of the August 15th Pivot AVWAP, which aligns perfectly with Buy Zone 1.

Your chart read was accurate:

This is what healthy pullbacks look like in long-term winners.

Roadmap:

Long-term thesis untouched.

Daily Chart:

Nothing changed for NU or SOFI today — and that’s bullish in this tape.

XLF continues to show surprising strength despite the market’s volatility.

I am watching the recent low-pivot AVWAP across all three names.
If financials lose that cluster on volume → I will trim some exposure.
Until then, nothing to do.

EOSE isn't doing anything special here — it’s simply drifting lower into the levels we already mapped.

This isn’t about momentum.
This isn’t about a clean reversal.
This isn’t about strength.

This is strictly about knowing where the buy zone sits and knowing where the short-term structure breaks.

Here are the only two things that matter:

$11.62 — $9.78

That’s where the asymmetric risk/reward begins.
No guessing.
No overthinking.
That’s the zone.

Close below $10.12

If we lose that level on a closing basis, the current structure is failing and the retest needs more time.

$40

Nothing about today’s action changes that long-term trajectory.
But there’s no strength here yet — this is not a reversal setup, not a breakout, not a momentum name right now.

This is simply:

That’s it.

Daily Chart:

Today’s candle looked like a possible failed breakout:

But nothing is confirmed yet.

Key levels:

A drop to $120 would be an incredible entry — not a breakdown.

Long-term thesis unchanged.

Daily Chart:

FLNC showed real strength today — and unlike a lot of names, the strength actually makes sense.

When you’ve got:

…you’re supposed to trade well when the rest of the market is shaky.

But here’s the key point that matters for the Alpha 40K portfolio:

It doesn’t mean execution.
It doesn’t mean margins.
It doesn’t mean cash flow.
It doesn’t mean repeatability.**

That’s why FLNC is intentionally a small position for now.

The chart looks great.
The demand looks real.
The long-term setup looks strong.

But until they prove they can convert backlog → revenue → margins → cash flow consistently, we aren’t treating it like a core.

This is the exact type of name where:

FLNC has held its dip buy zone perfectly, reclaimed structure, and is acting right — but the size stays small until the fundamentals stop being potential and start being reality.

No adjustments here.
Just respecting the execution curve.

Nothing meaningful changed on COIN today.
The structure is exactly the same, the roadmap is exactly the same, and the anchored VWAP stack continues to act as the long-term backbone of this chart.

Price is still hovering well above both major buy zones:

But here’s the key piece that needs to be said clearly:

COIN’s deeper levels — specifically the buy zone tied to the rising IPO AVWAP + All-Time-Low AVWAP — really only come into play if Bitcoin itself takes a meaningful leg down.

And based on how COIN has behaved this entire cycle:

Right now, BTC remains well above the range that would pull COIN into that lower zone.

So unless BTC loses $74K with conviction, I’m not expecting COIN to hit the second buy zone.

For now, COIN is simply drifting — and drifting is exactly what it should be doing until Bitcoin makes its next decision.

Daily Chart:

Total Value: $40,981.47
Cash: $3,005.36
Unrealized Gain: +$875.97 (+2.36%)

Note:
I trimmed 25 shares of LMND today via trailing stop to raise cash.
This will be reflected in the weekly Portfolio Page update.

If you’re following the Alpha 40K Portfolio:

Focus on the Buy Zones — not my entries.

I had to build positions to start the portfolio.
You get the advantage of waiting for the high-probability accumulation levels.

That’s how you compound intelligently over a multi-year horizon.

— Connor
Alpha Before It Prints

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